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Question

Probability that A speaks truth is. A coin is tossed. A reports that a head appears. The probability that actually there was head is

A.

B.

C.

D.

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Solution

Let E1 and E2 be the events such that

E1: A speaks truth

E2: A speaks false

Let X be the event that a head appears.

If a coin is tossed, then it may result in either head (H) or tail (T).

The probability of getting a head is whether A speaks truth or not.

The probability that there is actually a head is given by P (E1|X).

Therefore, the correct answer is A.


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