02 Feb 2021: UPSC Exam Comprehensive News Analysis

02 Feb 2021 CNA:- Download PDF Here

TABLE OF CONTENTS

A. GS 1 Related
B. GS 2 Related
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
1. Military seizes power in Myanmar coup
C. GS 3 Related
ECONOMY
1. Recovery vehicle
REVENUES AND EXPENDITURE
1. Tax slabs remain unchanged
2. Stake sale expected to fetch Rs. 1.75 lakh crore
3. Govt. agrees to maintain States’ share in the divisible pool of taxes
4. Stake sale expected to fetch Rs. 1.75 lakh crore
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
1. Budget sends mixed signals on farm sector
2. 5 fishing harbours to be modernised
3. Budget proposes 10% customs duty on import of cotton
FOOD PROCUREMENT AND DISTRIBUTION
1. Food subsidy budget set at almost Rs. 2.43 lakh crore
MANUFACTURING SECTOR
1. Auto sector welcomes vehicle scrappage policy
2. Textile sector
INFRASTRUCTURE
1. Govt. mulls Rs. 3 lakh-crore plan to revive discoms
2. Government to privatise seven major ports, says Sitharaman
3. Development Finance institution
4. New scheme for public buses: Minister
FINANCIAL SECTOR
1. Centre to amalgamate market laws into single code
HEALTHCARE SECTOR
1. 137% increase in health and well-being spend
GOVERNMENT SCHEMES
1. Water supply, Swachh Bharat 2.0 missions for urban areas
2. Rural India’s lifeline missing in Budget speech
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
1. Rs. 50,000 cr. for National Research Foundation
SOCIAL SECURITY
1. Portal to collect data on gig workers: govt.
D. GS 4 Related
E. Editorials
ECONOMY
1. Getting back on track
F. Tidbits
G. Prelims Facts
H. UPSC Prelims Practice Questions
I. UPSC Mains Practice Questions

A. GS 1 Related

Nothing here for today!!!

B. GS 2 Related

Category: INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

1. Military seizes power in Myanmar coup

Context:

  • Myanmar’s military has seized power in Myanmar in a coup against the democratically elected government of Aung San Suu Kyi. Army has declared a state of emergency for a year.

Details:

  • Aung San Suu Kyi, other elected leaders have been detained and power has been handed over to military chief Min Aung Hlaing.
  • The Army has stated that it had carried out the detentions in response to “election fraud”.
  • The coup has come after days of escalating tension between the civilian government and the military that stirred fears of a coup in the aftermath of the election.

India’s stakes:

  • India has expressed “deep concern” over developments in Myanmar. However, analysts have pointed out that given India’s stakes in Myanmar, the only option will be to engage, building on its outreach in recent years via the security and defence establishment.
  • India’s security relationship with the Myanmar military has become extremely close over the years and it may not want to cut ties with Myanmar.
  • Myanmar is vital for India in securing the North East frontiers from insurgent groups.
  • A harsh reaction from India, on the lines of that from the U.S., would only benefit China. India also views Myanmar as the “gateway to the East” and ASEAN countries.
  • India has cultivated several infrastructure and development projects with Myanmar. These include the India-Myanmar-Thailand trilateral highway and the Kaladan multi-modal transit transport network, as well as a plan for a Special Economic Zone at the Sittwe deep-water port.

C. GS 3 Related

Category: ECONOMY

1. Recovery vehicle

Major provisions:

  • The budget aims to increase government expenditure in line with the need for a fiscal stimulus to revive the economy.
  • The budget provides a push for infrastructure and healthcare spending, even as it seeks to reduce the fiscal deficit without raising the tax burden.
  • While there was no direct support for the middle class, there was some relief as the Budget refrained from levying a COVID-19 cess or surcharge.
  • There has not been much in terms of direct relief to some of the sectors and sections worst-affected by the pandemic.
  • The budget estimates a real GDP growth of 10%-10.5% in the coming year after the estimated 7.7% decline in 2020-21. The budget hopes to benefit from the multiplier effect of infrastructure spending, which would help spur demand and job creation.
  • Proposing a capital expenditure of Rs. 5.54 lakh crore in the current year, 34.5% higher than 2020-21, the budget targets a fiscal deficit of 6.8% of the GDP, with gross market borrowings of about Rs. 12 lakh crore. Achieving disinvestment and non-tax revenue targets will be critical to meet the deficit target.

Category: REVENUES AND EXPENDITURE

1. Tax slabs remain unchanged

Details:

  • The Budget seeks to reduce the compliance burden on senior citizens who are of 75 years of age and above.  Such senior citizens having only pension and interest income will be exempted from filing their income tax return.  The paying bank will deduct the necessary tax on their income.
  • The Budget proposes to notify rules for removing the hardships of non-resident Indians returning to India on the issue of their accrued incomes in their foreign retirement account.
  • A Dispute Resolution Committee has been proposed to reduce the difficulty faced by small taxpayers facing litigation. A National Faceless Income Tax Appellate Tribunal Centre has been proposed.
  • To attract foreign investment into the infrastructure sector, the Budget proposes to relax certain conditions relating to prohibition on private funding, restriction on commercial activities and direct investment in infrastructure.  In order to allow funding of infrastructure by the issue of zero-coupon bonds, the Budget proposes to make notified infrastructure debt funds eligible to raise funds by issuing tax-efficient zero-coupon bonds.
  • In order to incentivize startups in the country, the budget announced an extension in the eligibility for claiming tax holiday for startups by one more year till 31st March 2022.  In order to incentivize funding of startups, the budget proposed extending the Capital Gains exemption for investment in startups by one more year till 31st March 2022.

Significance: 

  • The reforms will help make the tax system more transparent and efficient.
  • The tax cuts proposed will help promote investment and employment in the country.

2. Stake sale expected to fetch Rs. 1.75 lakh crore

Details:

  • The budget estimates Rs. 1.75 lakh crore from stake sale in public sector companies and financial institutions.
  • Out of the total Rs. 1.75 lakh crore, Rs. 1 lakh crore is to come from selling government stake in public sector banks and financial institutions. About Rs. 75,000 crore would come as CPSE disinvestment receipts.
  • Under the proposed Disinvestment/Strategic Disinvestment Policy, Government has kept four areas- Atomic energy, Space and Defence; Transport and Telecommunications; Power, Petroleum, Coal and other minerals; and Banking, Insurance and financial services – that are strategic where bare minimum CPSEs will be maintained and rest privatized. In the non-strategic sectors, CPSEs will be privatised, otherwise shall be closed.

3. Govt. agrees to maintain States’ share in the divisible pool of taxes

Details:

  • The government has accepted the Fifteenth Finance Commission’s recommendation to maintain the States’ share in the divisible pool of taxes to 41% for the five-year period starting 2021-22, as a sign of its commitment to fiscal federalism.
  • The government has also accepted the recommendation of additional revenue deficit grants of ₹94 lakh crore for 17 states, as well as the panel’s suggestion to enhance State’s borrowing ceilings in 2021-22.
  • This would allow a normal ceiling of net borrowing for the States at 4% of Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) for the year 2021-2022. A portion of this ceiling will be earmarked to be spent on incremental capital expenditure. States are expected to reach a fiscal deficit of 3% of GSDP by 2023-24, and maintain that level till 2025-26, as per the Commission’s report.

4. Govt. hopes to cut fiscal deficit to 4.5% by FY26

Details:

  • The fiscal deficit for 2020-21 is seen at 9.5%. The original fiscal deficit target for 2020-21 was 3.5%. The fiscal deficit shot up due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic — low revenue flows and high government spending.
  • The Finance Minister has pegged the fiscal deficit for 2021-22 at 6.8% of the GDP and aims to bring it back below the 4.5% mark by 2025-26.
  • The road map for fiscal consolidation includes asset monetisation and divestment of public sector enterprises and also targeting higher tax buoyancy through improved tax compliance.

Category: AGRICULTURAL SECTOR

1. Budget sends mixed signals on farm sector

Details:

  • Agriculture Infrastructure Development Cess would be levied on petrol, diesel, gold and other imports, to improve facilities for production, conservation and processing of farm produce.
  • APMCs have been allowed to tap into the Rs.1 lakh crore Agriculture Infrastructure Fund (AIF).
  • The AIF was created last year, as part of the COVID-19 stimulus package to develop cold chain storage and other post-harvest management infrastructure.
  • The outlays for the income support scheme, PM-KISAN and schemes to provide a remunerative price for farm produce, such as PM AASHA and the Price Support Scheme have been slashed.

Significance:

  • The Agriculture Infrastructure Development Cess would help ensure the availability of more funds for the development of the crucial forward linkages to the agricultural sector.
  • By allowing the APMCs to avail credit from AIF the government seems to be indicating its support for the APMC and MSP based public procurement system.
  • The APMCs can avail cheaper loans to help increase the quality of infrastructure.

Share increase in agri

Concerns:

  • The cuts in allocations to schemes such as PM AASHA and the Price Support Scheme may mark the withdrawal of the state assurance for remunerative prices for the farmers.
  • The reduced allocation for the PM KISAN scheme may not allow the scheme to reach out to its original target of 14.5 crore households.

2. 5 fishing harbours to be modernised

Details:

  • The budget proposes the modernization of 5 fishing harbours. The proposed five major fishing harbours are Kochi, Chennai, Visakhapatnam, Paradip and Petuaghat. Similarly, inland fishing harbours and fish-landing centres along the banks of rivers and waterways would also be taken up going ahead.
  • To promote seaweed cultivation, a Multipurpose Seaweed Park would be established in Tamil Nadu.
  • The Blue Revolution centrally sponsored schemes have witnessed increased budget allocations.

Significance:

  • The increased allocations for the fishery and marine-based sectors would help develop the coastal areas as hubs of economic activity. This would help generate newer employment opportunities and also ensure the welfare of the coastal communities.
  • The proposals are a step in the right direction to exploit the potential of the marine resources of India and realize the vision of a blue economy.

3. Budget proposes 10% customs duty on import of cotton

Details:

  • A 10% customs duty would be levied on cotton imports and the levy on raw silk and yarn has been increased from 10% to 15%.
  • Indian textile mills imported 10 lakh to 12 lakh bales of cotton a year.

Significance:

  • The levy on raw cotton imports would increase domestic cotton prices and this could benefit the farmers.

Concerns:

  • The increase in domestic cotton prices would have an adverse impact on the entire value addition chain in the textile sector.

Category: FOOD PROCUREMENT AND DISTRIBUTION

1. Food subsidy budget set at almost Rs. 2.43 lakh crore

Details:

  • The government would pay Food Corporation of India’s loans and return to budgetary transfers to fund food subsidy bill.
  • Given the inadequacy of the budgetary grants to cover the subsidy costs, FCI used to borrow from the NSSF [National Small Savings Fund] at a rate of about 8%. Its outstanding loans are now well over Rs. 2 lakh crore.

Significance:

  • This move will help increase transparency, bringing subsidy expenditure back on the government’s books. This will help reflect the government’s debts and current financial state more accurately.
  • Also, given that the FCI would not be forced to borrow, the economic cost of procuring and distributing wheat and rice will go down, because the interest burden will be lower. FCI will also be left in better financial shape to face future challenges.

Category: MANUFACTURING SECTOR

1. Auto sector welcomes vehicle scrappage policy

Details:

  • The budget has proposed a voluntary vehicle scrappage policy to phase out old and unfit vehicles.
  • Vehicles would undergo fitness tests after 20 years in automated fitness centres in the case of personal vehicles (PV), and after 15 years in the case of commercial vehicles (CV).

Significance:

  • The policy would help in encouraging fuel-efficient, environment-friendly vehicles, thereby reducing vehicular pollution and the oil import bill.
  • The policy would provide an impetus to the automobile sector and the economy at large.
  • It will set in motion a circular economy with the subsequent economic and social benefits.

2. Textile sector

Details:

  • 7 Mega Investment Textile Parks would be set up over the next three years with plug and play facilities.
  • To rationalise duties on raw material inputs for man-made textiles, the Budget proposed to bring nylon chain on a par with polyester and other man-made fibres by reducing the basic customs duty on caprolactam, nylon chips, nylon fibre and yarn to 5%.
  • The Amended Technology Upgradation Fund Scheme, handloom development and textile infrastructure have received higher allocations.

Significance:

  • The proposed Textile Parks would enable the Indian textile industry to become globally competitive.
  • The increased allocation to schemes such as the Production Linked Incentive Scheme would provide an impetus to the textile sector in India.

Category: INFRASTRUCTURE

1. Govt. mulls Rs. 3 lakh-crore plan to revive discoms

Details:

  • The budget proposes a Rs. 3.05 lakh-crore scheme, spread over five years, to revive discoms.
  • The DISCOMS have been making huge losses and have been cash-strapped. Total outstanding dues of the discoms towards power-generating firms stood at over ₹35 lakh crore as of December.
  • The budget also proposes a framework to provide electricity consumers with an option to choose from service providers.
  • The Minister also announced a proposal to introduce a National Hydrogen Energy Mission in the next financial year for generating hydrogen from green sources.

Significance:

  • The scheme will provide assistance to discoms from infrastructure creation to financial improvements. This will help reform and revamp the power distribution sector scheme.
  • The announcements are aimed at ensuring 24-hour power for all as envisaged by the Central government.
  • The proposed framework to give consumers alternatives to choose from among more than one Distribution Company will help break the monopolies of distribution companies and will promote competition and efficiency among them. This is in line with the recently enforced consumer rules for the power sector to ensure delivery of services.

2. Government to privatise seven major ports, says Sitharaman

Details:

  • Seven major ports will see their operations privatised in the year 2021-2022.
  • India has 12 major ports under the control of the Centre. These major ports handle about 60% of its total cargo traffic.
  • The budget has announced a subsidy scheme of Rs. 1,624 crore for a period of five years for Indian shipping companies to encourage more merchant ships with Indian flags.
  • The Budget also envisages boosting the recycling of ships at Alang in Gujarat.

Significance:

  • The proposal to privatize operations at seven major ports is in line with the expectation of better efficiency and use of better technology that would accrue due to private sector involvement.
  • The initiative to encourage Indian shipping companies will enable greater training and employment opportunities for Indian seafarers.
  • India aspires to grab at least 50% of the global ship-recycling business through the incentives for ship recycling.

3. Development Finance institution

  • A new development finance institution is being set up to fund infrastructure projects under the National Infrastructure Pipeline. It will help meet the infrastructure’s long term debt financing needs. The goal is to have a lending portfolio of at least Rs. 5 lakh crore in three years.

Highways Ministry gets Rs. 1,18,101 crore outlay

  • The Ministry of Road Transport and Highways has received Rs. 1,18,101 crore in the Union Budget, of which Rs. 1,08,230 crore is for capital expenditure making it the highest-ever outlay for the sector.

‘Record’ allocation of Rs. 1.1 lakh crore for Railways

  • The budget has proposed a “record” allocation of Rs. 1.1 lakh crore for Indian Railways, with a capital expenditure outlay of Rs. 2.15 lakh crore for the next financial year.
  • The increased allocations would go towards the completion of vital infrastructure projects, capacity-building passenger amenities and safety enhancement.

4. New scheme for public buses: Minister

  • The budget has announced a new scheme for augmentation of city bus services and the expansion of and new Metro networks in Kochi, Chennai, Bengaluru, Nagpur and Nashik.
  • The scheme will facilitate the deployment of innovative public-private partnership [PPP] models to enable private sector players to finance, acquire, operate and maintain over 20,000 buses.
  • Two new Metro technologies — MetroLite and MetroNeo — would be used in tier-2 cities and the peripheral parts of tier-1 cities to provide connectivity at a lower cost compared to conventional Metro systems.

Significance:

  • The proposals will act as a major boost to urban transport. The proposals will work towards raising the share of public transport in urban areas.
  • This will help reduce congestion in urban areas and lead to better life quality for urban commuters. It will also help reduce air pollution due to vehicular emissions.

Category: FINANCIAL SECTOR

1. Centre to amalgamate market laws into single code

Details:

  • The Budget has announced setting up of a Single Security Market Code by consolidating the provisions of SEBI Act, 1992, Depositories Act, 1996, Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1956 and Government Securities Act, 2007.
  • The budget has also proposed to create a permanent institutional framework to govern the corporate bond market.
  • To provide protection to investors, the Finance Minister has proposed to introduce an investor charter as a right of all financial investors across all financial products.

Significance:

  • According to analysts, this move will improve ease of doing business in the country’s financial markets, cut down compliances, reduce cost and do away with friction between various stakeholders.
  • The proposed permanent institutional framework will help instil confidence among participants in the corporate bond market and help in the development of the bond market.

Asset Reconstruction Firm

  • An asset reconstruction firm, or ‘bad bank’, would be constituted and be tasked with taking over the bad loans of public sector banks to cope with rising NPAs.
  • However, just Rs. 20,000 crore has been earmarked for the recapitalisation of banks in the current budget.

Category: HEALTHCARE SECTOR

1. 137% increase in health and well-being spend

Details:

  • The government has proposed an expenditure of around Rs. 2,23,846 crore in the coming year on “health and well being”. This includes Rs. 60,030 crore for drinking water and sanitation, Rs. 35,000 crore for vaccination and Rs. 2,700-crore outlay on nutrition.
  • A new Centrally sponsored scheme, PM Atmanirbhar Swasth Bharat Yojana, would be launched on to improve primary, secondary, and tertiary care health systems including urban Health and Wellness Centres, strengthen national institutions like the National Centre for Disease Control, create new institutions like National Institutes of Virology and Bio-Safety Level III laboratories to cater to detection and cure of new and emerging diseases.

Significance:

  • The budgetary allocations would mark an increase of 137% as compared to last year. The Budget provides the much-needed fillip to the health sector and is indicative of the efforts to build a stronger and resilient health system.
  • The increase in investment in health infrastructure and the focus on strengthening three areas — preventive health, curative health and well-being will aid health security in India.
  • The ground-breaking focus on health will provide access to medical care for all in our country, fuel job creation and boost economic momentum.
  • The emphasis on the development of public health and health infrastructure in tier 2 and tier 3 cities, remote districts, will aid in making healthcare accessible to all.
  • The Budget provides a much-needed fillip to health, sanitation, nutrition and pollution control. These are key elements in promoting the health and well-being of the population in a holistic manner.
  • The emphasis on healthcare spending and immunisation, especially on COVID-19 and pneumococcal vaccines, will help India rapidly recover from the pandemic. The initiatives proposed are critical to contain the pandemic, reduce disease burden on the population and the economy.

Concerns:

  • India’s R&D expenditure on health formed 0.01% of its GDP, the lowest share among nations. India’s health R&D to GDP ratio was similar to countries such as Namibia, the Philippines and Sri Lanka.

Category: GOVERNMENT SCHEMES

1. Water supply, Swachh Bharat 2.0 missions for urban areas

Details:

  • The Jal Jeevan Mission (Urban) aims to provide universal water supply to areas under all the 4,378 urban local bodies with 2.86 crore household tap connections.
  • The next phase of the Swachh Bharat Mission (Urban) will be focusing on the management of sludge, liquid waste management. Additionally, it will also focus on source segregation of garbage, reduction in single-use plastic, reduction in air pollution by effectively managing waste from construction and demolition activities and bioremediation of all legacy dump sites.

Significance:

  • Clean water, sanitation, and a clean environment are prerequisites to achieving universal health.

2. Rural India’s lifeline missing in Budget speech

Details:

  • The allocations for the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act scheme stood at Rs. 73,000 cr.
  • The 2021-22 allocation returns MGNREGA funding to the levels of actual expenditure in 2019-20.

Concerns:

  • The MGNREGS often described as the lifeline of rural India during the COVID-19 pandemic and lockdown seems to have been neglected.
  • Some experts have warned that rural distress provoked by the pandemic was still continuing, and would require additional funding for the rural jobs scheme.
  • The unemployment scenario in rural India, which was at 9% even in December 2020, continues to be serious.

Category: SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

1. Rs. 50,000 cr. for National Research Foundation

Details:

  • The budget has earmarked Rs. 50,000 crore over five years for the creation of the National Research Foundation.
  • The National Research Foundation (NRF) would act as an umbrella body to fund research across a range of disciplines, from science and technology to humanities.
  • The NRF would be an autonomous body and represented by all major research and education bodies.

Significance:

  • The NRF will ensure that the overall research ecosystem in the country is strengthened with a focus on identified national priority thrust areas.
  • The NRF will also seed and build research capacity at universities and colleges through a formal mechanism of mentoring. This will help catalyse research at universities and colleges.

Category: SOCIAL SECURITY

1. Portal to collect data on gig workers: govt.

  • The budget proposes a portal to collect information on gig, building and construction workers.

Significance:

  • This information will help formulate welfare schemes like health, housing, skill, insurance, credit and food schemes for migrant workers.
  • Also under the labour codes passed by Parliament in 2019 and 2020, social security benefits will extend to gig and platform workers. Minimum wages will apply to all categories of workers and they will all be covered by the Employees State Insurance Corporation.

D. GS 4 Related

Nothing here for today!!!

E. Editorials

Category: ECONOMY

1. Getting back on track

Context:

  • Recently presented annual budget for the year 2021-22.

Background:

Impact of the pandemic on India:

  • The National Statistical Office estimates that our COVID-19-impacted economy will contract by 7.7% in the current fiscal year 2020-21 (FY21). The decline in per capita income is by 8.7%. The contraction is one of the worst among the world’s major countries.
  • The novel coronavirus pandemic and the resultant lockdown led to massive job and livelihood losses.
  • The output (GDP) contraction in 2020-21 has come on top of a slowdown in GDP growth over much of the previous decade (the 2010s), fall in employment, the decline in real wages, rise in the number of people in poverty, and, hence, an expected rise in the proportion of undernourished children.
  • Thankfully, India has not witnessed a second wave of COVID-19. Economic activity is rebounding as observed in the encouraging GST collections of a record ₹1.2 lakh crore for January 2021. But the Indian economy, which was structurally weak even before COVID-19, needs to be nursed back to full health.

Significant measures/proposals in the budget:

Focus on health sector:

  • There is greater spending on health care.
  • The new centrally sponsored scheme, ‘PM Atma Nirbhar Swasth Bharat Yojana’, aims to develop primary, secondary, and tertiary care capacities over the next six years.

Infrastructure expenditure:

  • The development finance institution proposed in the budget will help fund infrastructure projects under the National Infrastructure Pipeline. It will help meet the infrastructure’s long term debt financing needs.
  • Contemporary experience shows that most successful industrialising economies have relied on DFIs for providing long-term credit.
  • There is a multi-faceted infrastructural investment thrust supported with a claimed 35% increase in capital spending, from ₹4.12-lakh crore budgeted in 2020-21 to ₹5.54-lakh crore in the Budget for 2021-22.
  • There have been record allocations for railways and roadway development.
  • States are allowed a higher fiscal deficit, if the expenditure is on capital investment.
  • The proposed investment in infrastructure development will aid some recovery of demand in the pandemic-hit economy

Resource mobilization:

  • The Budget does take bold measures to set out a few avenues for resource mobilisation in the form of disinvestment, monetizing of PSU land assets, increasing limits for FDI, tapping the market for debt, etc.
  • It has not resorted to mobilize resources through higher taxes, which comes as a welcome relief. This will avoid the need to endanger our fragile economic recovery from COVID-19 with any additional tax burdens.

Financial sector measures:

  • The proposal to create a ‘bad bank’ for dealing with the pile of stressed bank loans is a long overdue measure. The Budget proposes establishing both an Asset Reconstruction Company and an Asset Management Company that would consolidate and take over existing stressed debt and then help dispose of the assets.

Re-invigorating investment in the economy:

  • The capital expenditure plan outlined in the Budget if implemented with assured financial backing, could revive the investment cycle.

Potential for increase in domestic output and jobs:

  • The Budget scores well on its potential to create domestic output and jobs.
  • There is a shift away from revenue expenditure towards productive investments. Capital expenditure in FY22 is budgeted to increase by 26% over FY21, with focus on areas such as infrastructure, roads, and textile parks.
  • This along with reform of labour laws, corporate tax rate cuts and production-linked incentives will aid in the increase in domestic output and also help generate more jobs.

Credibility of the budget:

  • This Budget scores very high marks on credibility, given that unlike before where the governments used to quote a lower fiscal deficit to mask the true extent of our fiscal imbalance, this year, the Finance Minister has largely come clean on the budget math.
  • She has declared much higher than expected fiscal deficit numbers of 9.5% of the GDP and 6.8% of the GDP for FY21 and FY22, respectively. In doing so, she has put out realistic estimates of revenue receipts, and recognised ‘off balance sheet’ expenditures.
  • This transparency augurs well on several fronts.
  • With realistic revenue budgets, the pressure on tax authorities to engage in tax terrorism should subside.
  • The government can now release its payments and refunds on time, easing a financial bottleneck that has adversely affected the stakeholders.

Concerns with budget proposals:

Fiscal conservatism:

  • While the Budget promises to revive the economy faster, it continues to emphasise the fiscal protectionist trend.
  • The government seems to be opting to contain overall spending so as to rein in the fiscal deficit to 6.8% in the coming fiscal year. The country cannot afford a premature scaling down of fiscal support at a time of rising inequality.
  • A sizeable fiscal stimulus to reinvigorate consumption demand could have gone a long way in completing the recovery. The Economic Survey too had suggested the need to have counter-cyclical fiscal policy. It advocated accelerating growth for ensuring debt sustainability, and emphasised the importance of public investment expenditure which has higher fiscal multipliers to ‘crowd in’ private investments. There was the need for fiscal stimulus to revive the economy.

Challenges in implementation:

  • While there are impressive investment intentions, the actual numbers will depend on the government’s ability to mobilize resources.
  • Despite the high targets for disinvestment, the government is still likely to face an uphill task in achieving its ambitious disinvestment goal given that private investment is still anaemic.
  • Though the budget proposes increased FDI in insurance, it remains to be seen how eager overseas insurers may be to raise their stakes, given the government’s insistence on safeguards such as mandating that a majority of board positions and key management personnel be restricted to resident Indians and requiring the companies to set aside a specified percentage of profits as general reserve.
  • High Market borrowing from the state will lead to crowding out effect and lead to higher interest rates for private borrowers.

Neglect of stressed sectors:

  • Several sectors of the economy are still reeling under chronic stresses – real estate, telecom, airlines and shipping, contact-based services and micro, small and medium enterprises. Any path to a recovery in domestic output and jobs will have to solve for many of these stresses.
  • There has not been much in terms of direct relief to some of the sectors and sections worst-affected by the pandemic.

Unwinding support measures:

  • With fiscal conservatism persisting, the government is set to wind down even the limited support it afforded to those hit hard by the pandemic through limited allocations for MGNREGA.

Funding for DFI:

  • Securing stable long-term, low cost sources of finance would be key to the functioning of the DFI. The Finance Minister’s speech mentioned that the proposed DFI will be financed by foreign portfolio investments (FPI), which is a cause for concern.
  • By definition, FPI represents short term inflows with exchange rate risks, while infrastructure investment is for long term whose revenues will be mostly in rupees. Such an investment will inevitably lead to currency and maturity miss-match, raising cost of capital.
  • There is a need to consider alternative long-term fund sources, preferably from domestic sources, or international development agencies.

Lack of employment programme:

  • There is no targeted employment programme to alleviate the immediate crisis of unemployment. There seems to be a sense of apathy towards those who lost jobs and livelihoods due to the pandemic shock.

Neglect of rising inequality:

  • There is consideration of the stupendous rise in economic inequality in the recent past. While the poor lost their jobs and livelihoods in 2020, corporate India’s profits zoomed.
  • The Budget has not considered a special tax on the super-rich — as many countries are now mooting.
  • Other social protection programmes such as old age, widow and disability pensions, also do not see any increase compared to last year.

Failure to address the hunger pandemic:

  • There has been an economic slowdown and growing inequality. Widespread hunger and food insecurity is a silent emergency that has not been getting sufficient attention. Unfortunately, the Union Budget also does not include any significant measures to address this.
  • The partial National Family Health Survey-5 results released recently showed that child malnutrition levels in 2019 were higher than in 2016 in most States. The fall in incomes witnessed by most poor and working-class households in the last one year would have made this situation even worse.
  • Many schemes have been clubbed together, however, there has been no increase in budgetary allocations.

Actual expenditure on health:

  • The 137% increase in the budgetary outlay on ‘health and well-being’ has been reported by including a one-time expenditure of Rs. 35,000 crore set aside for the COVID-19 vaccination programme, Rs. 60,030 crore budgeted for the department of drinking water and sanitation, as well as the Finance Commission’s grants for both water and sanitation and health totalling to almost Rs.50,000 crore.
  • Not enough has been done to address the chronic underinvestment in India’s public health infrastructure by appreciably raising expenditure.
  • A higher standalone outlay on public health infrastructure was necessary.

Conclusion:

  • The provisions presented in the 2021-22 Budget, if effectively implemented, promises to revive the economy faster and take it on a higher growth trajectory.
  • It not only addresses the immediate requirements to augment aggregate demand by increasing infrastructure spending, but also initiates reforms in critical areas to take the economy on a higher growth trajectory in the medium term.
  • However, the social sectors will need higher attention and higher resource allocation going ahead.

F. Tidbits

Nothing here for today!!!

G. Prelims Facts

Nothing here for today!!!

H. UPSC Prelims Practice Questions

Q1. Which of the following statement/s is/are correct with respect to the Kaladan 
Multi-Modal Transit Transport project?
  1. It marks a collaboration between India and Myanmar.
  2. It would connect to the state of Manipur in India.

Options:

  1. 1 only
  2. 2 only
  3. Both 1 and 2
  4. Neither 1 nor 2
CHECK ANSWERS:-

Answer: a

Explanation:

  • The Kaladan Multi-Modal Transit Transport project aims to connect the eastern Indian seaport of Kolkata with Sittwe seaport in Rakhine State, Myanmar by sea.
  • In Myanmar, it will then link Sittwe seaport to Paletwa in Chin State via the Kaladan river boat route, and then from Paletwa by road to Mizoram state in Northeast India.
Q2. What are the possible benefits of vehicle scrappage policy?
  1. Will boost the automobile sector
  2. Promoting circular economy
  3. Reduce the nation’s dependency on critical raw materials for vehicle manufacturing
  4. Reduce environmental pollution
  5. Increase energy security
  6. Increase employment opportunities

Options:

  1. 1, 2, 3, 4 and 6 only
  2. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6
  3. 1, 2, 4, 5 and 6 only
  4. 1, 4 and 6 only
CHECK ANSWERS:-

Answer: b

Explanation:

Possible benefits of vehicle scrappage policy:

  • The move will aid environment-friendly phasing out of polluting old vehicles and spur adoption of electric vehicles. This would play a critical role in reducing air pollution in the cities.
  • With this new policy, India could emerge as a hub for automobile manufacturing as key raw material available from scrapping steel, aluminium and plastic were bound to be recycled, bringing down automobile prices by “20-30%.”
  • This would also help reduce Indian oil dependence and help improve the current account deficit of which oil imports form a major proportion.
  • This would help reduce import of critical raw material from other countries helping improve India’s trade balances with such countries.
  • This policy would spur investments in the automobile sector, which would help economic revival in India and will also help generate additional employment opportunities.
Q3. Which of the following statement/s is are correct with respect to Agriculture
 Infrastructure Fund?
  1. The scheme shall provide a medium – long term debt financing facility for investment in projects for post-harvest management infrastructure and community farming assets.
  2. One Lakh Crore is the amount earmarked for the fund.
  3. APMCs can also seek loans from the AIF.

Options:

  1. 1 only
  2. 1 and 2 only
  3. 1, 2 and 3
  4. 2 and 3 only
CHECK ANSWERS:-

Answer: c

Explanation:

  • The Union Cabinet in July 2020 has approved a new pan India Central Sector Scheme called Agriculture Infrastructure Fund. The scheme shall provide a medium – long term debt financing facility for investment in viable projects for post-harvest management infrastructure and community farming assets through interest subvention and financial support.
  • The duration of the Scheme shall be from FY2020 to FY2029 (10 years).
  • Under the scheme, Rs. One Lakh Crore will be provided by banks and financial institutions as loans to Primary Agricultural Credit Societies (PACS), Marketing Cooperative Societies, Farmer Producers Organizations (FPOs), Self Help Group (SHG), Farmers, Joint Liability Groups (JLG), Multipurpose Cooperative Societies, Agri-entrepreneurs, Startups, Aggregation Infrastructure Providers and Central/State agency or Local Body sponsored Public-Private Partnership Project.
  • APMCs have been allowed to tap into the Rs.1 lakh crore Agriculture Infrastructure Fund (AIF) as announced in the recent budget.
Q4. Which of the following are the criteria considered by the 15th Finance Commission 
in the devolution of funds to the states from the divisible pool of taxes?
  1. Income Distance
  2. Demographic performance
  3. Population, 1971
  4. Tax efforts
  5. Area
  6. Forest cover
  7. Population density

Options:

  1. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and 7
  2. 1, 2, 4 and 5 only
  3. 1, 2, 4, 5 and 6 only
  4. 1, 3, 4 and 7 only
CHECK ANSWERS:-

Answer: b

Explanation:

explanation

I. UPSC Mains Practice Questions

  1. In light of the recently presented annual budget, discuss the salient provisions, their potential impact on the economic recovery process for India and also the associated concerns. (15 marks, 250 words) [GS-3, Economy]
  2. In the context of the military coup in Myanmar, analyze its possible impact on India-Myanmar relations. (10 marks, 150 words) [GS-2, International Relations]

Read the previous CNA here.

02 Feb 2021 CNA:- Download PDF Here

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