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Question

A & B having equal skill are playing a game of best of 5 points. After A has won two points & B has won one point, the probability that A will win the game is

A
12
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B
23
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C
34
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D
none
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Solution

The correct option is A 34
Total possible cases are A wins the next point and wins the game, B wins the next two point and wins the game, B wins the next point followed by A winning the next point. As for the 4th point, as both players have equal skill, therefore probability for the next point is 12. When A wins the next point P=12, when B wins the next point followed by A winning the next point is P=12×12=14. Net probability by which A wins the game is hence 34.

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