Probability And Statistics

Probability And Statistics are the two important concepts in Maths. Probability is all about chance. Whereas statistics is more about how we handle various data using different techniques.  It helps to represent complicated data in a very easy and understandable way. Statistics and probability are usually introduced in Class 10, Class 11 and Class 12 students are preparing for school exams and competitive examinations. The introduction of these fundamentals is briefly given in your academic books and notes. The statistic has a huge application nowadays in data science professions. The professionals use the stats and do the predictions of the business. It helps them to predict the future profit or loss attained by the company.

What is Probability?

Probability denotes the possibility of the outcome of any random event. The meaning of this term is to check the extent to which any event is likely to happen. For example, when we flip a coin in air, what is the possibility of coming head? The answer to this question is based on the number of possible outcomes. Here the possibility is either head or tail will be the outcome. So, the probability of a head to come as a result is 1/2.

The probability is the measure of the likelihood of an event to happen. It measures the certainty of the event. The formula for probability is given by;

P(E) = Number of Favourable Outcomes/Number of total outcomes

What is Statistics?

Statistics is the study of the collection, analysis, interpretation, presentation, and organization of data. It is a method of collecting and summarising the data. This has many applications from a small scale to large scale. Whether it is the study of the population of the country or its economy, stats are used for all such data analysis.

Statistics has a huge scope in many fields such as sociology, psychology, geology, weather forecasting, etc. The data collected here for analysis could be quantitative or qualitative. Quantitive data are also of two types such as: discrete and continuous. Discrete data has a fixed value whereas continuous data is not a fixed data but has a range. There are many terms and formulas used in this concept. See the below table to find them.

Terms Used in Probability and Statistics

There are various terms utilised in the probability and statistics concepts, Such as:

  • Random Experiment
  • Sample Sample
  • Random variables
  • Expected Value
  • Independence
  • Variance
  • Mean

Let us discuss these terms one by one.

Random Experiment

An experiment whose result cannot be predicted, until it is noticed is called a random experiment. For example, when we throw a dice randomly, the result is uncertain to us. We can get any output between 1 to 6. Hence, this experiment is random.

Sample Space

A sample space is the set of all possible results or outcomes of a random experiment. Suppose, if we have thrown a dice, randomly, then the sample space for this experiment will be all possible outcomes of throwing a dice, such as;

Sample Space = { 1,2,3,4,5,6}

Random Variables

The variables which denote the possible outcomes of a random experiment are called random variables. They are of two types:

  1. Discrete Random Variables
  2. Continuous Random Variables

Discrete random variables take only those distinct values which are countable. Whereas continuous random variables could take infinite number of possible values.

Independent Event

When the probability of occurrence of one event has no impact on the probability of another event, then both the events are termed as independent of each other. For example, if you flip a coin and at the same time you throw a dice, the probability of getting a ‘head’ is independent of the probability of getting a 6 in dice.

Mean

Mean of a random variable is the average of the random values of the possible outcomes of a random experiment. In simple terms, it is the expectation of the possible outcomes of the random experiment, repeated again and again or n number of times. It is also called the expectation of a random variable.

Expected Value

Expected value is the mean of a random variable. It is the assumed value which is considered for a random experiment.  It is also called as expectation, mathematical expectation or first moment. For example, if we roll a dice having six faces, then the expected value will be the average value of all the possible outcomes, i.e. 3.5.

Variance

Basically, the variance tells us how the values of the random variable are spread around the mean value. It specifies the distribution of the sample space across the mean.

List of Probability Topics

Basic probability topics are:

Addition Rule of Probability Binomial Probability Bayes Theorem
Compound Events Compound Probability Complementary Events
Conditional Probability Complementary Events Coin Toss Probability
Dependent Events Experimental Probability Geometric Probability
Independent Events Multiplication Rule of Probability Mutually Exclusive Events
Properties of Probability Probability Line Probability without Replacement
Random Variables Simple Event Sample Space
Tree Diagram Theoretical Probability Types of Events

List of Statistical Topics

Basic Statistics topics are:

Box and Whisker Plots

Comparing Two Means Comparing Two Proportions
Categorical Data Central Tendency Correlation
Data Handling Degree of freedom Empirical Rule
Frequency Table Five Number Summary Graphical Representation of Data
Histogram Mean Median
Mode Data Range Relative Frequency
Population and Sample Scatter Plots Standard Deviation
Ungrouped Data Variance Data Sets

Probability and Statistics Formulas

Probability Formulas: For two events A and B:

Probability Range Probability of an event lies between 0 and 1 i.e. 0 ≤ P(A) ≤ 1
Rule of Complementary Events P(A’) + P(A) = 1
Rule of Addition P(A∪B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A∩B)
Mutually Exclusive Events P(A∪B) = P(A) + P(B)
Independent Events P(A∩B) = P(A)P(B)
Disjoint Events P(A∩B) = 0
Conditional Probability P(A|B) = P(A∩B)/P(B)
Bayes Formula P(A|B) = P(B|A) P(A)/P(B)

Statistics Formulas : Some important formulas are listed below:

Let x be item given and n is the total number of items.

Mean (Sum of all the terms)/(Total number of terms) = \(\overline{x}=\frac{\sum x}{n}\)
Median M = \((\frac{n+1}{2})^{th}\) : If n = odd

M = \(\frac{(\frac{n}{2})^{th}term+(\frac{n}{2}+1)^{th}term}{2}\) : If n = even

Mode   Most frequently occurring value
Standard Deviation SD (σ) = sqrt[Σ( x_i – μ )x^2/N ]
Variance Var(x)  = E[(x – μ)^2] = E[x^2] – μ^2

Solved Examples

Here are some examples based on the concepts of statistics and probability to understand better. Students can practice more questions based on these solved examples to excel in the topic. Also, make use of the formulas given in this article in the above section to solve problems based on them.

Example 1: Find the mean and mode of the following data: 2, 3, 5, 6, 10, 6, 12, 6, 3, 4.

Solution:

Total Count: 10

Sum of all the numbers: 2+3+5+6+10+6+12+6+3+7=60

Mean = (sum of all the numbers)/(Total number of items)

Mean = 60/10 = 6

Again, Number 6 is occurring for 3 times, therefore Mode = 6. Answer

Example 2: A bucket contains 5 blue, 4 green and 5 red balls. Sudheer is asked to pick 2 balls randomly from the bucket without replacement and then one more ball is to be picked. What is the probability he picked 2 green balls and 1 blue ball?

Solution: Total number of balls = 14

Probability of drawing

1 green ball = 4/14

another green ball = 3/13

1 blue ball = 5/12

Probability of picking 2 green balls and 1 blue ball = 4/14 * 3/13 * 5/12 = 5/182.

Example 3: What is the probability that Ram will choose a marble at random and that it is not black if the bowl contains 3 red, 2 black and 5 green marbles.

Solution: Total number of marble = 10

Red and Green marbles = 8

Find the number of marbles that are not black and divide by the total number of marbles.

So P(not black) = (number of red or green marbles)/(total number of marbles)

= 8 /10

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