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Question

A bag contains 4 green and 6 white balls. Two balls are drawn one by one without replacement. If the second ball drawn is white, what is the probability that the first ball drawn is also white?

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Solution

The first ball drawn is white: A

Second ball is white: B

conditionally probability :P(A|B)

P(A|B)=P(AnB)/P(B) (I)

AnB= first ball was white and second ball is also white.

P(AnB)=6/105/9 (II)

second ball is white: B

it can happen in two mutually exclusive ways :

a) first ball is white and second is white

b) first ball is green while the second is white.

P(B)=P(1)+P(2)=6/105/9+4/106/9 (iii)

Substituting equation (II) and (iii) in equation (I)

P(A|B)

=(6/105/9)/(6/105/9+4/106/9)

=30/(30+24)

=30/54

=59


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