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Question

A coin has probability p of showing head when tossed. It is tossed n times. Let pn denote the probability that no two (or more) consecutive heads occur, then

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Solution

For n3, if the last outcome is T, then the probability that the first (n1) tosses do not contain two (or more consecutive heads is pn1 and if the last outcome is H, then (n1)th outcome must be T and the probability the first (n2) tosses do not contain two (or more) consecutive heads is pn2. Hence,
pn=pn1×P (nth toss results in a tail)+pn2×P (nth toss results in a head and (n1)th toss results in a tail)
=(1p)pn1+p(1p)pn2
A) When n=1, then two possible outcomes viz. H and T satisfy the condition that two (or more consecutive heads do not occur. Thus, p1=1.
B) When n=2m the possible outcomes are HH,HT,TH and TT. Out of these, first outcome viz. HH does not satisfy the condition that no two (or more) consecutive heads occur. Thus,
p2=1P(HH)=1pp=1p2.
C) p3=(1p)p2+p(1p)p1=(1p)(1p2)+p(1p)1=12p2+p3
D) pn=(1p)pn1+p(1p)pn2

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