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Question

A dice is thrown twice and the sum of the numbers appearing is observed to be 6. What is the conditional probability that the number 4 has appeared at least once?

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Solution

Consider the given events.
A = 4 appears on the die
B = The sum of the numbers on two dice is 6.

Clearly,
A = {(1, 4) (2, 4), (3, 4),(4, 1), (4, 2), (4, 3), (4, 4), (4, 5), (4, 6), (5, 4), (6, 4)}
B = {(1, 5), (5, 1), (2, 4), (4, 2),(3, 3)}

Now, AB=2,4 and 4,2 Required probability = PA/B=nABnB=25

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