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Question

A die is thrown three times. Find P (A/B) and P (B/A), if
A = 4 appears on the third toss, B = 6 and 5 appear respectively on first two tosses.

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Solution

Consider the given events.
A = Getting 4 on third throw
B = Getting 6 on first throw and and 5 on second throw

Clearly,
A = {(1, 1, 4), (1, 2, 4), (1, 3, 4), (1, 4, 4), (1, 5, 4), (1, 6, 4), (2, 1, 4), (2, 2, 4), (2, 3, 4), (2, 4, 4), (2, 5, 4), (2, 6, 4),
. .
. .
. .
(6, 1, 4), (6, 2, 4), (6, 3, 4), (6, 4, 4), (6, 5, 4), (6, 6, 4)}
B = {6, 5, 1), (6, 5, 2), (6, 5, 3), (6, 5, 4), (6, 5, 5), (6, 5, 6)}

Now, AB=6, 5, 4 Required probability = PA/B=nABnB=16 Required probability = PB/A=nABnA=136

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