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Question

A fair coin is tossed if the result is a head, a pairof fair dice is rolled and the score is noted. If theresult is a tail, a card from a well shuffled pack ofeleven numbered 1,2,3,.......11 is picked and thenumber on the card is noted. Then the probabilitythat the number noted is either 7 or 8 is

A
45512
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B
193792
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C
1931024
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D
243792
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Solution

The correct option is B 193792
P(7 or 8)= P(7or8/head).P(head)+P(7or8/tail)P(tail)
P(7or8/head)= P(sum of dice=7)+P(sum of dice=8) = 5/36+6/36=11/36
P(7or8/tail)= 2/11
Therefore P(7 or 8)= 1136×12+211×12=193792

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