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Question

A jar contains 4 red marbles, 4 green marbles, and 5 blue marbles. If we choose a marble, then another marble without putting the first one back in the jar, what is the probability that the first marble will be blue and the second will be green?

A
439
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B
539
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C
637
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D
337
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Solution

The correct option is B 539
The probability of event A happening, then event B, is the probability of event A happening times the probability of event B happening given that event A has already happened.
In this case, event A is picking a blue marble and leaving it out. Event B is picking a green marble.
Let's take the events one at a time. What is the probability that the first marble chosen will be blue?
There are 5 blue marbles, and 13 total, so the probability we will pick a blue marble is 513.
After we take out the first marble, we don't put it back in, so there are only 12 marbles left.
Since the first marble was blue, there are still 4 green marbles left.
So, the probability of picking a green marble after taking out a blue marble is 412
Therefore, the probability of picking a blue marble, then a green marble is 513412=20156=539

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