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Question

A lot contains 50 defective & 50 non defective bulbs. Two bulbs are drawn at random, one at a time, with replacement. The ecents A, B, C are defined as
A= {the fist bulb is defective};
B= {the second bulb is non defective}
C= {the two bulbs are both defective or both non defective}
Determine whether A, B, C are independent.
If yes enter 1 else enter 0.

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Solution

Let D1 denotes the occurrence of a defective bulb In Ist draw.
Therefore P(D1)=50100=12
and let D2 denotes the occurrence of a defective bulb in IInd draw.
Therefore P(D2)=50100=12
and let N1 denotes the occurrence of non-defective bulb in Ist draw.
Therefore P(N1)=50100=12
Again, let N2 denotes the occurrence of non-defective bulb in IInd draw.
Therefore P(N2)=50100=12
Now, D1 is independent with N1 and D2 is independent with N2 according to the given condition.
A= {first bulb is defective } ={D1D2,D1N2}
B= {the second bulb is non-defective} ={D1N2,N1N2}
C= {the two bulbs are both defective } ={D1D2,N1N2}
Again, we know that
AB={D1N2},BC={N1N2}
CA={D1D2} and ABC=ϕ
Also,P(A)=P{D1D2}+P{D1D2}=P(D1)P(D2)+P(D1)P(N2)
=(12)(12)+(12)(12)=12
Similarly, P(B)=12 and P(C)=12
Also, p(AB)=P(D1N2)=P(D1)P(N2)=(12)(12)=14
Similarly P(BC)=14,P(CA)=14 and P(ABC)=0
Since, P(AB)=P(A)P(B),P(BC)=P(B)P(C) and P(CA)=P(C)P(A)
Therefore A,B and C are pairwise independent.
Also P(ABC)P(A)P(B)P(C) therefore A,B and C cannot be independent

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