A man succeeds twice as often as he fails. What is the probability that in the next 5 trials there will be four successes?
An experiment succeeds twice as often as it fails.
i.e. the probability of its success is 23 and the probability of its failure is 13.
In the next 5 trials, the experiment needs to succeed in 4 out of the 5 trials.
4 out of the 5 trials in which it succeeds could be selected in 5C4 = 5 ways.
And as 4 of them are successes, they have a probability of 23 and the one that is a failure will have a probability of 13.
Hence, the required probability = 5×(23)4×(13)