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Question

A person writes n letters and addresses n envelopes; if the letters are placed in the envelopes at random, what is the probability that every letter goes wrong?

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Solution

Let un denote the number of ways in which all the letters go wrong, and let a,b,c,d...... represent that arrangement in which all the letters are in their own envelopes.
Now if a in any other arrangement occupies the place of an assigned letter b, this letter must either occupy a's place or some other.
(i) Suppose b occupies a's place. Then the number of ways in which all the remaining n2 letters can be displaced is un2, and therefore the numbers of ways in which a may be displaced by interchange with some one of the other n1 letters, and the rest be all displaced is (n1)un2.
(ii) Suppose a occupies b's place, and b does not occupy a's. Then in arrangements satisfying the required conditions, since a is fixed in b's place, the letter b,c,d,..... must be all displaced, which can be done in un1 ways; therefore the number of ways in which a occupies the place of another letter but not by interchange with that letter is (n1)un1;
un=(n1)(un1+un2);
From which, we find unnun1=(1)n(u2u1).
Also u1=0,u2=1; thus we finally obtain
un=n{1213+14.....+(1)nn}.
Now the total number of ways in which the n things can be put in n places is n; therefore the required chance is
1213+14.......+(1)nn.

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