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Question

A purse contains four coins; two coins having been drawn are found to be 2 Rupee coins; find the chance (i) that all coins are 2 Rupee coins (ii) that if the coins are replaced, another drawing will give a 2 Rupee coin.

A
25,78
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B
35,18
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C
35,78
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D
25,18
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Solution

The correct option is B 35,78
The purse may contain 2 or 3 or 4 two-rupee coins. All these three hypotheses are equally likely i.e., P1=P2=P3
Hence P1=24×13=16,P2=34×23,P3=44×33=1
The chance that all are two-rupee coins
=p3(p)=116+12+1=610=35
Again p11=p23=p36=(p)10
Q1=110,Q2=310,Q3=610
The chance that another drawing will give a two rupee coin
=(Q1×24)+(Q2×34)+(Q3×1)
=120+940+610=78.

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