A speaks truth in 60% of the cases and B in 90% of the cases. In what percentage of cases are they likely to contradict each other in stating the same fact?
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Solution
Let E be the event that A speaks truth and F be the event that B speaks truth. Then E and F are independent events such that P(E)=60100=35 and P(F)=90100=910 A and B will contradict each other in narrating the same fact in the following mutually exclusive ways: (i) A speaks truth and B tells a lie i.e. E∩¯F (ii) A tells a lie and B speaks truth lie i.e. ¯E∩F ∴P(A and B contradict each other) =P(IorII)=P(I∪II)=P[(E∩¯F)∪(¯E∩F)] =P(E∩¯F)+P(¯E∩F) [∵E∩¯F and ¯E∩F are mutually exclusive] =P(E)P(¯F)+P(¯E)P(F) [∵E and F are in dep.] =35×(1−910)+(1−35)×910=35×110+25×910=2150