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Question

A speaks truth in 60% of the cases and B in 90% of the cases. In what percentage of cases are they likely to contradict each other in stating the same fact?

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Solution

Let E be the event that A speaks truth and F be the event that B speaks truth. Then E and F are independent events such that
P(E)=60100=35 and P(F)=90100=910
A and B will contradict each other in narrating the same fact in the following mutually exclusive ways:
(i) A speaks truth and B tells a lie i.e. E¯F
(ii) A tells a lie and B speaks truth lie i.e. ¯EF
P(A and B contradict each other)
=P(IorII)=P(III)=P[(E¯F)(¯EF)]
=P(E¯F)+P(¯EF) [ E¯F and ¯EF are mutually exclusive]
=P(E)P(¯F)+P(¯E)P(F) [ E and F are in dep.]
=35×(1910)+(135)×910=35×110+25×910=2150
=2150×100=42%

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