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Question

A student answers a multiple choice question with 5 alternatives, of which exactly one is correct. The probability that he knows the correct answer is p,0<p<1. If he does not know the correct answer, he randomly ticks one answer. Given that he has answered the question correctly, the probability that he did not tick the answer randomly, is

A
3p4p+3
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B
5p3p+2
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C
5p4p+1
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D
4p3p+1
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Solution

The correct option is D 5p4p+1
Let the no. of alternatives be denoted as p
The question contains 5 alternatives.
Let event E1= the answer that he ticked randomly.
Let event E2= the answer that he knows
A= answered correctly.
p(E1)=5possibleanswers5
=55
=1
p(E2)=15
Probability that the ticked answer is wrong =45
p(E1)p(AE1)p(E2)p(AE2)+p(E1)p(AE1)
=p×145×p+15×1
=5p4p+1
Hence, the answer is 5p4p+1.

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