Question

According to the author, why is prediction difficult in history?
(2007)

• A. Historical explanations are usually broad so that no prediction is possible.
• B. Historical outcomes depend upon a large number of factors and hence prediction is difficult for each case.
• C. Historical sciences, by their very nature, are not interested in a multitude of minor factors, which might be important in a specific historical outcome.
• D. Historians are interested in evolution of human history and hence are only interested in long-term predictions.

Answer 1

The correct option is B Historical outcomes depend upon a large number of factors and hence prediction is difficult for each case.

Option: (b)

In the last paragraph, 1^st line the author mentions that prediction in history is much more difficult owing to the large number of individual variables operating thus making answer option (b) correct.