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Question

An unbiased coin is tossed. If the result is a head, a pair of unbiased dice is rolled and the number obtained by adding the numbers on the two faces is noted. If the result is a tail, a card from a well shufled pack of eleven cards numbered 2,3,4,...12 is picked and the number on the card is noted. The probability that the noted number is either 7 or 8, is

A
193792
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B
164792
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C
231792
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D
None of these
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Solution

The correct option is D 193792
The possible outcomes on the pair of dice when the sum of the numbers on them is 7 are (1,6),(2,5),(3,4),(4,3),(5,2),(6,1), the probability for which is 636
The possible outcomes on the dice when the sum is 8 are (2,6),(3,5),(4,4)(5,3),(6,2) the probability for which is 536
The probability that on the coin head comes and on the dice the sum is 7 or 8
=12(636+536)=1172
The probability that form the pack of 11 cards when one card is chosen then number on it is 7 or 8 is 211
The probability that tail comes on the coin and then on the chosen card number appearing is 7 or 8
=12×211=111
Thus, the required probability =1172+111=121+7211×72=193792

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