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Question

An unbiased die is thrown again and again until three sixes are obtained. Find the probability of obtaining 3rd six in the sixth throw of the die.

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Solution

Let p be the probability of obtaining a "six" in a single throw of the die. Then,
p=16 and q=116=56

Obtaining third six in the sixth throw of the die means that in first five throws there are 2 sixes and third six is obtained in sixth throw. Therefore,
Required probability = P( Getting 2 sixes in first 5 throws ) P( Getting 'six' in sixth throw )
=(5C2p2q52)(p)
=5C2(16)2(56)3×16
=62523328

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