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Time Estimates and Expected Time of an Activity
Convert the g...
Question
Convert the given AON network to that of AOA network
Legend [4, 1]
⇒
[Total estimate, variance],
Z = 1.65 for P(Z) = 0.95
The maximum completion time of project is
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Solution
Paths
Duration
a
−
d
−
g
4
+
4
+
6
=
14
a
−
c
−
e
−
g
4
+
5
+
6
+
6
+
21
→
C
P
a
−
c
−
f
4
+
5
+
1
=
10
b
−
e
−
g
2
+
6
+
6
=
14
b
−
f
2
+
1
=
3
T
e
=
21
(
Var
)
c
p
=
(
Var
)
a
+
(
Var
)
c
+
(
Var
)
e
+
(
Var
)
g
=
1
+
1
+
0.44
+
1
=
3.44
σ
c
p
=
√
3.44
=
1.854
Maximum completion time
=
T
e
+
3
σ
c
p
=
21
+
3
×
1.854
=
27
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