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Question

If the chance that any of 5 telephone lines is busy at any instance is 0.01. What is the probability that all the lines are busy? What is the probability that more than 3 lines are busy?

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Solution

We have:

P(telephone line is busy ) = 0.01

Q(telephone lines are not busy) = 1 - 0.01 = 0.99

N =5

So it is problem of binomial distribution

1) The probability for all lines are busy (which is equivalent to no lines are free) = P(X=0)=5C0p5q0=0.015=1010

2) The probability for more than 3 lines are busy = P(X=0)+P(X=1)=5C0p5q0+5C1p4q1=(.01)5+5(.01)4(0.991)=1010+495×1010=496×1010=4.96×1010


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