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Question

In a hurdle race, a player has to cross 10 hurdles. The probability that he will clear hurdles is 56. What is the probability that he will knock down fewer than 2 hurdles?

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Solution

It is a case of Bernoulli trials, where success is crossing a hurdle successfully without knocking it down and n=10.

therefore p=P(success)=56

q=1p=16.

Let X be the random variable that represents the number of times the player will knock down the hurdle.

Clearly , X has a binomial distribution with n=10 and p=56

P(X=r)=nCrqnr.pr

=10Cr(16)r(56)10r

P (player knocking down less than 2 hurdles) =P(x2)

=P(0)+P(1)=10C0p10q0+10C1p9q

=10C0(56)10(16)0+10C1(56)9(16)1=1×1×(56)10+10×(56)9×(16)=(56)9(56+106)=156×(56)9=52×5969=5102×69


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