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Question

India plays two matches each with West Indies and Australia. In any match the probabilities of India getting points 1,2,3 are 0.45,0.05 and 0.50 respectively. Assuming that outcomes are independent, the probability of India getting at least 7 points is

A
0.0624
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B
0.0875
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C
0.8750
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D
0.0250
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Solution

The correct option is B 0.0875
India play 4 matches and getting at least 7 points. It can only be possible in WWWD or WWWW position where W represent two points and D represents one point.

the probability of the required event

4C3(0.05)(0.5)3+4C4(0.5)4

=[4C3(0.05)+4C4(0.5)](0.5)3

=[4!3!(0.05)+0.5]0.125

=[4(0.05)+0.5]0.125

=[0.2+0.5]0.125

=[0.7]0.125

=0.0875

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