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Question

Let A,B & C be 3 arbitary events defined on a sample space S and if, P(A)+P(B)+P(C)=p1,P(AB)+P(BC)+P(CA)=p2 & P(ABC)=p3, then the probability that exactly one of the three events occurs is given by:

A
p1p2+p3
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B
p1p2+2p3
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C
p12p2+p3
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D
p12p2+3p3
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Solution

The correct option is D p12p2+3p3
Probability that exactly one of event occurs
=P(only A)+P(only B)+P(only C)

P(only A)=P(A)P(AB)P(AC)+P(ABC)
P(onlyB)=P(B)P(AB)P(BC)+P(ABC)
P(onlyC)=P(C)P(AC)P(BC)+P(ABC)
=(P(A)P(AB)P(AC)+P(ABC))+(P(B)P(AB)P(BC)+P(ABC))+(P(C)P(AC)P(BC)+P(ABC))
=p12p2+3p3

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