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Question

On her vacations Veena visits four cities (A,B,C and D) in a random order. What is the probability that she visits

(i) A before B ?

(ii) A before B and B before C ?

(iii) A first and B last ?

(iv) A either first or second ?

(v) A just before B ?

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Solution

(i) Required Probability
Given : Veena visit four cities A,B,C,D on her vacation in any order.
So, sample space is

S=⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ABCD,ABDC,ACBD,ACDB,ADBC,ADCBBACD,BADC,BDAC,BDCA,BCAD,BCDACABD,CADB,CBDA,CBAD,CDAB,CDBADABC,DACB,DBCA,DBAC,DCAB,DCBA⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪

Let F be the event that Veena visit four cities while A before B

F

={ABCD,ABDC,ACBD,ACDB,ADBC,ADCBCABD,CADB,CDAB,DABC,DACB,DCAB}

n(S)=24 and n(F)=12

P ( Veena visit four cities A before B ) =favourable outcomesTotal outcomes

P (required event) =n(F)n(S)=1224=12

Hence the required probability that Veena visit four cities while A before B is 12 .

(ii) Required Probability
Given : Veena visit four cities A,B,C,D on her vacation in any order.
So, sample space is

S=⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ABCD,ABDC,ACBD,ACDB,ADBC,ADCBBACD,BADC,BDAC,BDCA,BCAD,BCDACABD,CADB,CBDA,CBAD,CDAB,CDBADABC,DACB,DBCA,DBAC,DCAB,DCBA⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪

Let F be the event that Veena visit four cities while A before B and B before C is

F={ABCD,ABDC,ADBC,DABC}

n(S)=24 and n(F)=4

P (Veena visit four cities A before B and B before C

=favourable outcomesTotal outcomes

P (required event) =n(F)n(S)=424=16

Hence the required probability that Veena visit four cities while A before B and B before C is 16.

(iii) Required Probability
Given : Veena visit four cities A,B,C,D on her vacation in any order.
So, sample space is

S=⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ABCD,ABDC,ACBD,ACDB,ADBC,ADCBBACD,BADC,BDAC,BDCA,BCAD,BCDACABD,CADB,CBDA,CBAD,CDAB,CDBADABC,DACB,DBCA,DBAC,DCAB,DCBA⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪

Let F be the event that Veena visit four cities while A first and B last is

F={ACDB,ADCB}

n(S)=24 and n(F)=2

P (Veena visit four cities A first and B last)

=favourable outcomesTotal outcomes

P (required event) =n(F)n(S)=224=112

Hence the required probability that Veena visit four cities A first and B last is 112 .

(iv) Required Probability
Given : Veena visit four cities on her vacation in any order.
So, sample required sample space is

S=⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ABCD,ABDC,ACBD,ACDB,ADBC,ADCBBACD,BADC,BDAC,BDCA,BCAD,BCDACABD,CADB,CBDA,CBAD,CDAB,CDBADABC,DACB,DBCA,DBAC,DCAB,DCBA⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪

Let F be the event that Veena visit four cities while A either first or second is

F=ABCD,ABDC,ACBD,ACDBADBC,ADCB,BACD,BADCCABD,CADB,DABC,DACB

n(S)=24 and n(F)=12

P (Veena visit four cities while A either first or second)

=favourable outcomesTotal outcomes

P (required event) =n(F)n(S)=1224=12

Hence the required probability that Veena visit four cities A either first or second is 12.

(v) Required Probability
Given : Veena visit four cities on her vacation in any order.
So, sample required sample space is

S=⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ABCD,ABDC,ACBD,ACDB,ADBC,ADCBBACD,BADC,BDAC,BDCA,BCAD,BCDACABD,CADB,CBDA,CBAD,CDAB,CDBADABC,DACB,DBCA,DBAC,DCAB,DCBA⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪

Let F be the event that Veena visit four cities while A just before B is

F={ABCD,ABDC,CABD,CDAB,DABC,DCAB}

n(S)=24 and n(F)=6

P (Veena visit four cities while A just before B)

=favourable outcomesTotal outcomes

P (required event) =n(F)n(S)=624=14

Hence the required probability that Veena visit four cities while A just before B is 14.

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