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Question

One purse contains 1 sovereign and 3 shillings, a second purse contains 2 sovereigns and 4 shillings, and a third contains 3 sovereigns and 1 shilling. If a coin is taken out of one of the purses selected at random, find the chance that it is a sovereign.

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Solution

Since each purse is equally likely to be taken, the chance of selecting the first is 13; and the chance of then drawing a sovereign is 14; hence the chance of drawing a sovereign so for as it depends upon the first purse is 13×14, or 112. Similarly the chance of drawing a sovereign so far as it depends on the second purse is 13×26, or 19; and from the third purse the chance of drawing a sovereign is 13×34, or 14;
The required chance =112+19+14=49.

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