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Question

Suppose we have four boxes. A, B, C and D containing coloured marbles as given below:

Box

Marble colour

Red

White

Black

A

1

6

3

B

6

2

2

C

8

1

1

D

0

6

4

One of the boxes has been selected at random and a single marble is drawn from it. If the marble is red, what is the probability that it was drawn from box A?, box B?, box C?

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Solution

Let R be the event of drawing the red marble.

Let EA, EB, and EC respectively denote the events of selecting the box A, B, and C.

Total number of marbles = 40

Number of red marbles = 15

Probability of drawing the red marble from box A is given by P (EA|R).

Probability that the red marble is from box B is P (EB|R).

Probability that the red marble is from box C is P (EC|R).


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