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Question

There are 4 white and 3 black balls in a box. In another box there are 3 white and 4 black balls. An unbiased dice is rolled. If it shows a number less than or equal to 3, then a ball is drawn from the first box, but if it shows a number more than 3, then a ball is drawn from the second box. If the ball drawn is black, then the probability that the ball was drawn from the first box is

A
12
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B
67
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C
47
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D
37
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Solution

The correct option is B 37
Probability of choosing the first box =36=12
Probability of choosing the second box =36=12
Probability of choosing a black ball
=(Probability of choosing the first bag * Probability of choosing black)
+ (Probability of choosing the second bag * Probability of choosing black)
=(12×37)+(12×47)
=12
Now,
P(ballchosenfromfirstboxchosenballisblack)
=P((ballchosenfromfirstbox)(chosenballisblack))P(chosenballisblack)
Thus, required probability = (12×37)12=37

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