There is a box which contains 4 red, 3 blue and 1 black identical balls. For each red ball withdrawn (without replacement), you have to put 1 blue and 1 black ball in the bag. For each blue ball withdrawn (without replacement), you have to put 2 blue and 1 red ball. What is the probability that ball withdrawn at third attempt will be black, if first and second balls withdrawn were red and blue respectively?
Box:4 Red3 Blue1 Black
Step 1: 1.1: Take out 1 red ball, remaining red balls = 4 - 1 = 3
1.2: Add 1 blue, total blue balls = 3 + 1 = 4
1.3: Add 1 Black, total black balls = 1+ 1 = 2
Box: 3 Red4 Blue2 Black
Step 2: 2.1: Take out 1 blue ball, remaining blue balls = 4 - 1 = 3
2.2: Add 2 blue balls, total blue balls = 3 + 2 = 5
2.3: Add 1 red ball, total red ball = 3 + 1 = 4
Box: 4 Red5 Blue2 Black
P (getting black ball) = Total no. of Black ballsTotal no. of balls= 25+4+2= 211