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Question

Three companies are bidding on a contract. Company A is twice as likely to win as Company B, and Company B is three times as likely to win as Company C. What is the probability of each company winning the contract?

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Solution

Let the probability of C winning be p.
Then the probability of B winning = 3p.
The probability of A winning = 6p.
We know that the sum of probabilities is 1. That is,
p + 3p + 6p = 10p = 1
Thus, P (A) = 0.6
P (B) = 0.3
P (C) = 0.1


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