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Question

Two cards are selected at random from a box which contains five cards numbered 1, 1, 2, 2, and 3. Let X denote the sum and Y the maximum of the two numbers drawn. Find the probability distribution, mean and variance of X and Y.

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Solution

There are 5 cards numbered 1, 1, 2, 2 and 3.

Let:
X = Sum of two numbers on cards = 2, 3, 4, 5

Y = Maximum of two numbers = 1, 2, 3


Thus, the probability distribution of X is given by
X P(X)
2 110
3 410
4 310
5 210

Total number of cards = 2 cards with "1" on them + 2 cards with "2" on them + 1 card with "3" on it
= 5

Total number of possible choices (in drawing the two cards)= Number of ways in which the two cards can be drawn from the total 5
= 5C2
=5!2!3!
= 10

Probabilty that the two cards drawn would be having the numbers 1 and 1 on them is P(11).

P(11) = C22×C02 ×C01C25
=1×1×110=110

Probabilty that the two cards drawn would be having the numbers 1 and 2 on them is P(11).

P(11) = C22×C02 ×C01C25
=1×1×110=110

"1" and "2" on them

⇒ P(12) =
2C1 × 2C1 × 1C0
5C2
"1's" "2's" "3's" Total
Available 2 2 1 5
To Choose 1 1 0 2
Choices 2C1 2C1 1C0 5C2


=
2
1
×
2
1
× 1
10
=
2 × 2 × 1
10
=
4
10
=
2
5

"1" and "3" on them

⇒ P(13) =
2C1 × 2C0 × 1C1
5C2
"1's" "2's" "3's" Total
Available 2 2 1 5
To Choose 1 0 1 2
Choices 2C1 2C0 1C1 5C2


=
2
1
× 1 ×
1
1
10
=
2 × 1 × 1
10
=
2
10
=
1
5

"2" and "2" on them

⇒ P(22) =
2C0 × 2C2 × 1C1
5C2
"1's" "2's" "3's" Total
Available 2 2 1 5
To Choose 0 2 0 2
Choices 2C0 2C2 1C0 5C2


=
1 × 1 × 1
10
=
1
10

"2" and "3" on them

⇒ P(23) =
2C0 × 2C1 × 1C1
5C2
"1's" "2's" "3's" Total
Available 2 2 1 5
To Choose 0 1 1 2
Choices 2C0 2C1 1C1 5C2


=
1 ×
2
1
× 1
10
=
1 × 2 × 1
10
=
2
10
=
1
5

Probability for the sum of the numbers on the cards drawn to be

2 ⇒ P(X = 2) = P(11)
=
1
10
3 ⇒ P(X = 3) = P(12)
=
4
10
4 ⇒ P(X = 4) = P(13 or 22) i.e. P(13 ∪ 22)
= P(13) + P(22)
=
2
10
+
1
10
=
3
10
5 ⇒ P(X = 2) = P(23)
=
2
10

The probabilty distribution of "x" would be

x 2 3 4 5
P(X = x)
1
10
4
10
3
10
2
10

Calculations for Mean and Standard Deviations

x P (X = x) px
[x × P (X = x)]
x2 px2
[x2 × P (X = x)]
2
1
10
2
10
4
4
10
3
4
10
12
10
9
36
10
4
3
10
12
10
16
48
10
5
2
10
10
10
25
50
10
Total 1
36
10
138
10
= 3.6 = 13.8

The Expected Value of the sum


⇒ Expectation of "x"

⇒ E (x) = Σ px
= 3.6
Variance of the sum of the numbers on the cards
⇒ var (x) = E (x2) − (E(x))2
⇒ var (x) = Σ px2 − (Σ px)2
= 13.8 − (3.6)2
= 13.8 − 12.96
= 0.84
Standard Deviation of the sum of the numbers on the cards
⇒ SD (x) = + Var (x)
= + 0.84
= + 0.917


Computation of mean and variance
xi pi pixi pixi2
2 110 210 410
3 410 1210 3610
4 310 1210 4810
5 210 1 5010
pixi = 3610=3.6 pixi2 = 13810=13.8

Mean=pixi=3.6Variance=pixi2-Mean2=13.8-12.96=0.84


Thus, the probability distribution of Y is given by
Y P(Y)
1 0.1
2 0.5
3 0.4


Computation of mean and variance
yi pi piyi piyi2
1 0.1 0.1 0.1
2 0.5 1 2
3 0.4 1.2 3.6
pixi = 2.3 pixi2 = 5.7

Mean=piyi=2.3Variance=piyi2-Mean2=5.7-5.29=0.41

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