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Question

X follows a binomial distribution with parameters n and p and Y follows a binomial distribution with parameters m and p. Then if X and Y are independent and r, s 0, then the given expression also equals
P(X=r|X+Y=r+s)=

A
(mCr)(nCs)m+nCr+s
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B
nCr.m1Csm+nCr+s
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C
nCr.mCsm+n2Cr+s
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D
nCr.m+1Csm+nCr+s
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Solution

The correct option is A (mCr)(nCs)m+nCr+s
We have, P(X=r/X+Y=r+s)
=P[(X=r)(X+Y=r+s)]P(X+Y=r+s)
=P[(X=r)(Y=s)]P(X+Y=r+s)=P(X=r)P(Y=s)P(X+Y=r+s)
And, P(X+Y=r+s)=r+sk=0P[(X=k)(Y=r+sk)]
=r+sk=0(nCkpkqnk)(mCr+skpr+skqmrs+k)
=pr+sqmrsr+sk=0(nCk)(mCr+sk)
Now the last sum is the expression for the number of ways of choosing
r+s persons out of n men and m women, which is mCr+s.
Therefore,
P(X+Y=r+s)=m+nCr+spr+sqm+nrs
so thast P(X=r/X+Y=r+s)
=(mCrprqnr)(nCspsqms)m+nCr+spr+sqm+nrs=(mCr)(nCs)m+nCr+s

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