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Question

'X' speaks truth in 60 & 'y' is 50 of the cases. The probability that they contradict each other while narrating the same incident, is

A
12
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B
18
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C
14
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D
23
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Solution

The correct option is A 12
Given:
Probability of X speaking truth, P(X)=60%=0.6
Probability of Y speaking truth, P(Y)=50%=0.5
To find:
Probability of contradiction.
P(X)=0.4,P(Y)=0.5
Contradiction occurs when X speaks truth and Y speaks false or X speaks false and Y speaks truth. And as all the events are independent,
i.e.,, Required probability = P(XY)+P(XY)=P(X)×P(Y)+P(X)×P(Y)
=0.6×0.5+0.4×0.5=0.3+0.2=0.5=12

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