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Question

Two aeroplanes I and II bomb a target in succession. The probabilities of I and II scoring a hit correctly are 0.3 and 0.2, respectively. The second plane will bomb only if the first misses the target. The probability that the target is hit by the second plane, is


A

0.06

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B

0.14

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C

0.32

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D

0.7

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Solution

The correct option is C

0.32


Find the required probability:

In the question, it is given that the probability of hitting a target by a bomb by two aeroplanes I and II is 0.3 and 0.2, respectively.

So, the probability of not hitting a target by a bomb by two aeroplanes I and II is 0.7 and 0.8, respectively.

So, The probability P that the target is hit by the second plane is given by P=(0.7)(0.2)+(0.7)(0.8)(0.7)(0.2)+(0.7)(0.8)(0.7)(0.8)(0.7)(0.2)+.....

Take (0.7)(0.2) common from the right-hand side.

P=(0.7)(0.2)1+(0.7)(0.8)+(0.7)(0.8)(0.7)(0.8)+....

Since, the terms in the square bracket are in G.P.

Therefore,

P=(0.7)(0.2)1+(0.7)(0.8)+(0.7)(0.8)(0.7)(0.8)+....P=(0.14)[1+0.56+(0.56)2]P=(0.14)[1(1-0.56)]P=0.32

Therefore, the probability that the target is hit by the second plane, is 0.32.

Hence, option (C) is the correct answer.


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